Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.020819 0.023034 0.025246 0.027614 0.030073 0.032546 0.035216
2025-02-23 0.016426 0.019917 0.023528 0.027515 0.031767 0.036144 0.040969
2025-03-02 0.013473 0.017698 0.022201 0.027290 0.032823 0.038609 0.045073
2025-03-09 0.011398 0.016138 0.021326 0.027306 0.033909 0.040899 0.048786
2025-03-16 0.009392 0.014437 0.020119 0.026796 0.034278 0.042286 0.051403
2025-03-23 0.008056 0.013380 0.019527 0.026874 0.035205 0.044199 0.054509
2025-03-30 0.006698 0.012164 0.018657 0.026552 0.035614 0.045482 0.056867
2025-04-06 0.005451 0.010966 0.017723 0.026087 0.035800 0.046465 0.058846
2025-04-13 0.004044 0.009406 0.016252 0.024915 0.035119 0.046429 0.059651
2025-04-20 0.003528 0.009008 0.016182 0.025374 0.036284 0.048438 0.062699
2025-04-27 0.002782 0.008189 0.015527 0.025091 0.036558 0.049415 0.064571
2025-05-04 0.002042 0.007266 0.014680 0.024531 0.036474 0.049959 0.065932
2025-05-11 0.001550 0.006715 0.014360 0.024692 0.037334 0.051690 0.068764
2025-05-18 0.001040 0.006026 0.013829 0.024591 0.037899 0.053113 0.071284
2025-05-25 0.000612 0.005335 0.013237 0.024375 0.038301 0.054323 0.073545
2025-06-01 0.000330 0.004816 0.012849 0.024391 0.038958 0.055810 0.076100
2025-06-08 0.000084 0.004103 0.012105 0.023905 0.038978 0.056533 0.077763
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.003701 0.011802 0.023979 0.039666 0.058022 0.080288
2025-06-22 NaN 0.003169 0.011238 0.023673 0.039864 0.058919 0.082119
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002630 0.010597 0.023230 0.039869 0.059572 0.083652
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001904 0.009510 0.022116 0.038999 0.059163 0.083938
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001774 0.009526 0.022552 0.040084 0.061076 0.086908
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001432 0.009066 0.022283 0.040257 0.061886 0.088586